Cramer: Too Soon to Say the Coast Is Clear for AI Stocks

    TL;DR: Jim Cramer said in an October 18 Investing Club column that it's too soon to say the coast is clear for the hardest hit AI data center stocks. The Nasdaq CTA Artificial Intelligence Index was …

    ·6 min read
    Reviewed by Jeff Barnes — CEO of Angel Investors Network · MBA · $1B+ in Capital Formation
    Close view of an AI server tray fitted into a rack, with coolant hoses and manifolds leading into a softly lit data centre hall.
    TL;DR: Jim Cramer said in an October 18 Investing Club column that it's too soon to say the coast is clear for the hardest-hit AI data center stocks. The Nasdaq CTA Artificial Intelligence Index was down 7.0% over the last month, according to Yahoo Finance. For investors, the question is who pays for the buildout.

    What did Cramer actually say about AI stocks?

    He told readers not to treat a single good day as a recovery. Yahoo Finance quotes his Investing Club column: "Even after today's bounce, I think it's too soon to say the coast is clear, and it's safe to dive back into the hardest-hit AI data center stocks."

    A week later his tone was harsher. In a CNBC Investing Club column dated October 25, Cramer pointed to CoreWeave, whose stock fell hard while its high-yield debt took the blame. He said he would rather own consumer staples than the AI complex.

    That is one commentator's read. Treat it as a view on sentiment, not a forecast of prices.

    How bad is the pullback, and what are the AI companies spending?

    The pullback is real but narrow, and the spending behind it is very large. The table below lists the figures Yahoo Finance reported, with the analyst or company that produced each number named in the figure column.

    ItemFigureWhere it was reported
    Nasdaq CTA Artificial Intelligence Index (58 AI-linked stocks)Down 7.0% over the last monthYahoo Finance
    AI Infrastructure Index (data center hardware costs)Up around 70% over the past year, per Malukas, whose market analysis company publishes the indexYahoo Finance
    Meta Q3 2026 free cash flowNegative $2.12 billion, as Meta reported itYahoo Finance
    Meta 2026 capital expenditure estimate$135 billion to $145 billion, Meta's own estimateYahoo Finance
    Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon and Meta combined 2026 capexAbout $700 billion, per analyst HamannYahoo Finance

    Read the table as a gap. Hardware costs have climbed sharply, and at least one of the biggest spenders is burning cash while it keeps building. A 7.0% monthly drop in an index looks mild next to those numbers.

    Why does the funding question matter more than the share price?

    Because the next leg of the build-out has to be paid for, and Cramer's worry is that the market may not want to fund it. In his October 25 column he said the market couldn't bear "a huge prospective capital raise" at a company whose infrastructure build he'd assumed would be self-funded.

    Malukas drew a useful line on who can absorb this. Moneywise quotes him: "Some companies can fund it from cash flow; others are leaning more heavily on borrowing." A company paying from cash flow can slow down when it wants to. One that borrows has to keep refinancing, and rising rates make that harder. Debt is the weak point.

    What does Anthropic's IPO filing mean for private AI holders?

    It adds an Anthropic listing to a market that is already being asked to absorb Meta's share sale. TheStreet reported that Anthropic filed to go public on October 26. Meta laid out plans for a massive share sale the same day.

    The same report puts the 2026 IPO total at more than $148 billion so far, topping the roughly $142 billion raised in all of 2021. TheStreet notes that 2021 was the year right before the last bear market.

    Start with the downside. Per TheStreet, the filing has not yet set the number of shares or the price, so nobody outside the deal knows what it will be priced against. If you hold private AI shares, a public listing gives you a price to compare against your last round. That price may be lower than you hoped. If public buyers tire of absorbing new supply, it could arrive in a market less generous than the one that set your entry.

    What should an accredited investor watch next?

    Start with the cash flow line, not the headline. Cramer's column asked whether Microsoft and Alphabet would report on Wednesday and Amazon on Thursday with anything resembling the capital-raise surprise. Their quarterly filings will show free cash flow and capex side by side. Read those two lines before you read the commentary.

    If you hold private AI exposure, the bridge from public spending to private prices runs through marks. A private holding is valued at its last round, not repriced daily. When the public market questions how much AI spending is worth, private marks tend to follow late and in steps. Down rounds are how that shows up, and the data on 2026 down rounds shows what investors have been facing.

    Our look at the Cognition valuation math shows how a private round can price in growth that public buyers now question. The SpaceX-Cursor deal shows the same pricing pressure from the acquirer's side.

    Liquidity is the other half. BCRED's first gating tested the promise that you can get out when you want. Nothing here is a call on any stock, and a data center stock can fall further or rebound next week.

    Common mistakes when reading an AI-stock warning

    Treating a TV or column view as data is the easy one. Cramer's caution tells you about mood, and it doesn't tell you what any company will earn.

    Index and stock are different things, too. A 7.0% monthly drop across 58 stocks says little about the one you own, which may have moved far more or far less.

    Then there's funding. A company can have rising revenue and still be a problem if it borrows at high rates to keep building.

    FAQ

    Why are tech stocks crashing?

    Cramer's October 25 column points to funding fears. He cited CoreWeave's stock falling as its high-yield debt became the concern, and a prospective capital raise the market couldn't bear. That is his reading, per CNBC, not a settled cause.

    What did Jim Cramer say about the stock market?

    He said it's too soon to say the coast is clear for the hardest-hit AI data center stocks, in an October 18 Investing Club column reported by Yahoo Finance.

    What AI stock does Cramer recommend?

    In the October 25 column he didn't pick an AI stock. He said he would rather own Kimberly-Clark, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble, per CNBC. That's a commentator's preference, not advice for your portfolio.

    Get the investor read on the next AI filing

    The free AIN briefing sends our plain-English read on filings and deals like these, with the downside first.

    Educational content only. Not investment, tax, or legal advice. Not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Private-market investments are illiquid and involve risk of loss, including total loss of capital. Consult qualified advisers. Angel Investors Network is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser.

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    About the Author

    Jeff Barnes, MBA