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    Inflation

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    Market Analysis

    Fed Inflation Forecast: What October's Data Means

    TL;DR: The Motley Fool reported on October 23 that inflation forecasts are moving the wrong way. September CPI ran at an annualized 3.7%, and the Cleveland Fed's nowcast points to 3.77% for October. …

    Jeff Barnes, MBA··6 min read
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    Market Analysis

    Fed Turns Hawkish but Can Wait on the Next Hike

    TL;DR: Federal Reserve officials now lean toward more rate hikes, but the September minutes and recent speeches say they can wait for more data first. Markets price a pause at the October meeting and…

    Jeff Barnes, MBA··5 min read
    Close-up of industrial refinery pipes and processing equipment in dark lighting with gold accents, representing petroleum infrastructure affected by supply disruptions.
    Market Analysis

    Trumpflation Returns: What Sticky Inflation Means for You

    TL;DR: Headline inflation cooled to 3.4% in August from 4.2% in May, per the Motley Fool. August core CPI came in at 2.4%, while core PCE — a separate measure — held at 3.3% in June and July, per Pri…

    Jeff Barnes, MBA··6 min read
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    Market Analysis

    Fed, ECB, BOJ Raise Rates as Energy Shock Hits

    TL;DR: The Fed, ECB, and Bank of Japan all raised rates in September 2026, reversing 2025's easing cycle, after a fresh energy shock pushed inflation back above target, according to LSEG. US energy p…

    Jeff Barnes, MBA··6 min read